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sued to major international oil groups as well as to
            national companies, and there was naturally fear
            that AMLO would roll back these contracts. AMLO,
            after having taken offi ce, reassured that he was not
            going to roll back the exploration and/or production
            oil contracts issued under Peña Nieto, but he also
            said that his government was not going to issue
            any more contracts, and added that his administra-
            tion would closely monitor the companies that had
            won those contracts in order to challenge them to
            quickly pump more and more oil. At the same time,
            AMLO announced an ambitious Plan Nacional para
            la Producción de Hidrocarburos (National Plan for
            the Production of Hydrocarbons) aimed at increa-
            sing national production by Pemex. The most im-
            portant elements of this plan are:
            •   To increase exploration by 10% per year; and
                to increase the production of gas by 50%
            •   To increase production of oil from 750,000
                barrels per day to 2,400,000 barrels per year
                by the end of his six-year mandate as the pre-
                sident of Mexico
            •   To strengthen the production of the six existing
                refi neries and to build a seventh refi nery in Me-
                xico                                      AMLO announced an ambitious
            Moreover, to shore up shaky Pemex fi nancial situa-
            tion AMLO repeatedly said in February 2019 that   National Plan for the Production
            he would reduce the tax burden on Pemex as well “of Hydrocarbons aimed at
            as sustain the company. In fact, on 15 February,   increasing national production
            AMLO said that the Mexican state will give a 2019
            aid package to Pemex amounting to US$5.5 bil-  by Pemex
            lion, including a recurring annual US$0.75 billion
            tax relief and a US$1.3 billion capital injection,   Finally, AMLO, also in February 2019, declared that
            which has been already budgeted, plus US$1.8   Pemex will not sign any new farmout agreement
            billion to assist the company in covering its pension   or partnerships with private companies for the ex-
            liabilities as well as US$1.7 billion from hoped-for   traction of oil in Mexico, although the three existing
            fuel theft recovery.                      ones (the deepwater fi eld Trión with BHP Group;




                            Pemex, le prospettive legate
                          al futuro del Governo di AMLO




                          Pemex, la national oil company (NOC) del Messico, un paese le cui riserve petrolifere sono le quarte
                          maggiori dell’America Latina e le diciannovesime a livello mondiale, vanta il poco lusinghiero titolo di
                          NOC maggiormente indebitata al mondo. Il 1° luglio 2018, il popolo messicano ha eletto Andrés Manuel
                          López Obrador (AMLO) presidente, sancendo la fi ne dello storico bipartitismo del paese ed eleggendo
                          per la prima volta un presidente di sinistra dopo 90 anni, conferendogli un mandato per governare
                          fi no al 2024 e garantendogli anche una solida maggioranza nel parlamento. La fragilità fi nanziaria di
                          Pemex è, come molti commentatori hanno sottolineato, bilanciata, in effetti, dalla garanzia sovrana
                          della Stato messicano: ciò è particolarmente vero con AMLO che ha fatto del rilancio di Pemex e del
                          settore energetico messicano uno dei tratti caratterizzanti la sua presidenza. Tuttavia, se la situazione
                          interna del paese dovesse deteriorarsi, particolarmente sulla base di dinamiche legate all’economia e
                          alla geopolitica internazionale, e di conseguenza indebolire eccessivamente il governo di AMLO, Pemex
                          allora potrebbe perdere il suo più solido baluardo ed entrare in una situazione di elevata incertezza.






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