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The Middle East’s Strategic
Expansion of Refined
Products Exports

This region is witnessing a unique combination of consistently high local
demand growth, secure feedstock supplies, dominant NOC investors and
a shift from crude oil to refined product exports. These trends suggest
that it will remain detached from the economic woes overshadowing the
international refining business for the foreseeable future

M. Rhodes
Technical Editor

Ongoing  construction          A lready a leader in crude oil exports,                                             increase by nearly 2 MMbpd
                                                  the Middle East (ME) is making                                   through 2020, exceeding 10
at the 3 MMtpy Sadara                             a deliberate move to increase its                                MMbpd, despite potential
                                                  participation in the refined and                                 delays in the commissioning
complex (left), winner of                         petrochemical products markets.                                  of several projects [1].
                                                  It is likely that the ME will continue                           Incremental products output
HP’s Top HPI Projects of       to add downstream projects. Refining capacity                                       from new refinery capacity is
                               will center on domestic demand and export                                           expected to outpace demand
2014, Petrochemical. (Photo    opportunities to Asia-Pacific (AP) and Europe.                                      growth in the region, resulting
                               The ME refining industry varies greatly from other                                  in higher net product exports.
courtesy of Sadara Chemical    regions, as exemplified by its average utilization                                  Some products are expected
                               rates, which generally run at maximum and regularly                                 to be absorbed domestically
Co.); the Qatofin project in   exceed 90%. Since 87% of the approximately 8               as the region moves into compliance with tighter
                               MMbpd of existing refining capacity is owned by            environmental fuel regulations, such as the Euro 4
Qatar (right) includes one of  national oil companies (NOCs), refining margins            and Euro 5 quality standards.
                               do not play a significant role in operations. These        Traditionally, ME refineries have had simple
the world’s largest ethane     NOCs process their own crude oil and condensate,           configurations and high fuel oil yields, partly due
                               and they operate to meet growing domestic                  to strong power generation requirements. This
crackers. (Photo courtesy      demand and strategic objectives to expand refined          condition is changing; a new generation of highly
                               product exports.                                           complex plants, combined with upgrades at existing
of Total Petrochemicals        The region’s overall refining capacity is forecast to      refineries, is radically altering the product mix. New
                                                                                          unit configurations include hydrocracking, catalytic
France)                                                                                   cracking and hydrotreating capacities designed
                                                                                          to minimize fuel oil output and maximize middle
                                                                                          distillate, diesel and gasoline production.

                                                                                          Refinery integration

                                                                                          The ME is transforming its downstream business
                                                                                          to be both vertically integrated across the value
                                                                                          chain and horizontally integrated across suitable
                                                                                          geographies.
                                                                                          The goal is to add greater value to hydrocarbon

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