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the low-risk playbook of cutting costs and retre-  tal made a final investment decision on their lar-
            ating to the core may be the higher-risk path for   ge carbon capture and storage project, Northern
            oil and gas players. Analysis of oil and gas valua-  Lights, off Norway’s west coast. Less clear will be
            tions over three major economic recessions during   the scale and pace for development of low-carbon
            the last 25 years confirms that “wait and watch”   infrastructure, build-out of net-zero carbon assets,
            was a poor option. Across industry sectors, com-  and larger-scale expansion of biofuel production
            panies that took bold and effective action during   and the next generation of renewable power assets
            the 2007–08 global financial crisis performed much   (see Figure 3).
            better than those that retreated to precrisis appro-
            aches and activities (see Figure 2).
                                                      Steps to pursue a zero-carbon
            Act now                                   future

            Given that standing still is not an option, what   During the current crisis, oil and gas companies are
            should oil and gas companies be doing?    freeing up company resources through new ways
                                                      of working and lower levels of operational and ca-
            The standard response might be to shelve mid-   pex activity. Some are diverting this expertise to
            and longer-term sustainability research into initia-  initiatives that will help them reach their net-zero
            tives that will take years to reach scale, such as   carbon goals (see Figure 4).
            large-scale  hydrogen  infrastructure.  Energy  sto-  In this environment, leaders are bringing together
            rage and advanced biofuel feedstocks may also   the often fragmented and incremental sustainabi-
            take a back seat, while plant electrification, carbon   lity efforts into a concentrated set of initiatives and
            capture, operational decarbonization, plastics and   establishing a transformation framework. Despite
            lubricants recycling are more likely to push forward.   growing advocacy, initiatives and target setting, the
            For example, in late May, Equinor, Shell and To-  oil and gas majors have yet to substantially redu-
                                                      ce their Scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions: Betwe-
                Sector leaders can continue to        en 2014 and 2018, eight majors reduced these
                demonstrate their low-carbon          emissions by only 5.6% on average. The Covid-19
                                                      slowdowns in industrial and commercial activity re-
            “commitments to investors                 duced global greenhouse gas emissions by about
                 by doubling down on low-             17% in April, but that followed a decade of annual
                 carbon investments with              increases. Without concerted action, emissions
                                                      are certain to spike back as lockdowns relax and
                 the best returns and shorter         resume their rise, and people and companies get
                 implementation times, such as        back to work. To change the trajectory, a bolder
                                                      approach is required.
                 electrifying assets and reducing
                 the carbon output of operations      Establish a short-term sustainability roadmap.
                                                      Many companies have set long-term decarboniza-


























                                                                                               Figure 3: Energy companies
                                                                                               may need to prioritize sustai-
                                                                                               nability initiatives based on
                                                                                               their ability to deliver greater
                                                                                               effects in less time


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